Electricity Risk Curves

Current Status

As at 31 March, the risk level for the New Zealand and the South Island is set to Normal.

  • Watch represents 8 weeks until actual storage reaches Emergency level.
  • Alert represents 3 weeks until actual storage reaches Emergency level.
  • If actual storage drops below Emergency level, an emergency situation will be declared and an Official Conservation Campaign will commence.

Electricity Risk Curves

New Zealand and South Island controlled storage are above average. The graphs below compare New Zealand and South Island controlled storage to the relevant Electricity Risk Status Curves.

The graphs below compare New Zealand and South Island controlled storage to the relevant Electricity Risk Curves - Percentage Risk.

 

 

Electricity Risk Curve Files

Latest New Zealand Electricity Risk and South Island Electricity Risk Curves [ pdf 381.25 KB ]
Electricity Risk Curve Data for 2020 and 2021 [ xlsx 29.62 KB ] (Effective from 31 March 2020)
Electricity Risk Curve Input Assumptions [ pdf 851.23 KB ] (Effective from 31 March 2020)
Electricity Risk Curve Update Log [ pdf 1.09 MB ] (Effective from 2 March 2020)

Simulated Storage Trajectories Files

Simulated Storage Trajectories [ pdf 144.41 KB ] (Effective from 2 March 2020)
Simulated Storage Trajectories: Assumptions [ pdf 556.17 KB ] (Effective from 2 March 2020)

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